Forecast the
Private Markets
ExitOdds is the prediction market for private company outcomes. Trade YES/NO on IPOs, acquisitions, and shutdowns — and see what the crowd really thinks before it happens.
Three steps to a position.
Pick a market
Browse forecasts on IPOs, acquisitions, down-rounds, and shutdowns across the private company landscape.
Take YES or NO
Buy the side you believe. Prices move in cents and read straight off as the crowd-implied probability.
Settle on the event
When the outcome resolves, winning positions pay out at $1. Your edge is being right before the news.
The whole floor, in your pocket.
Start on equal footing
Every new forecaster begins with the same Credits balance — pure signal, no bankroll advantage.
Browse live markets
Scan the floor by sector and see where the crowd is leaning right now.
Read the chart, take a side
Live price history and a one-tap YES/NO ticket with instant, crowd-implied odds.
Track every position
Account value, open positions, and realized P&L — all in one view.
Climb the board
Compare your calls against the crowd and rise up the forecasting leaderboard.
What will the crowd price today?
Illustrative markets. Prices reflect crowd-implied probability.
A sharper signal than the rumor mill.
Crowd-priced probability
Every market resolves to a single number: what the market thinks will happen, updated the moment new money moves.
Coverage the press misses
Track down-rounds, secondary sales, and quiet shutdowns — the private-market events that never hit a stock ticker.
Skin in the game
Opinions are cheap. A position is a forecast you're willing to back — which is why the aggregate is worth reading.
Built for the exit
Purpose-built around the moments that matter: IPO, M&A, and wind-down — not sports scores or election noise.
Be first on the forecasting floor.
Join the waitlist for early access. We'll send an invite when your seat on the market opens.
Not investment advice. ExitOdds is a forecasting platform, not a securities exchange.